Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, TV5
France	France 3
Germany	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 6, Max


	Japan W		Belgium W

	1	2
	5	1.18
	4.5	1.2
	4.2	1.22
	4.18	1.25
	3.94	1.24	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.89	1.25
	4.2	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (2.48)	1.22 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
22.4%

Belgium W
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan W's form might have worsened.

Belgium W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgium W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Japan W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgium W than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgium W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Japan W - Belgium W Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Belgium will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgium: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Akaho H.	6. Delaere A. Perfumerias Avenida
27. Hayashi S. (C)	13. Linskens K. Lattes Montpellier
13. Machida R.	11. Meesseman E. (C) Fenerbahce
32. Miyazaki S.	4. Ramette E. Cadi La Seu
8. Takada M.	35. Vanloo J. Washington Mystics
Substitutes
30. Mawuli E.	15. Claessens N. Castors Braine
3. Mawuli S. Estudiantes	99. Joris I. Castors Braine
52. Miyazawa Yuki	31. Lisowa-Mbaka M. ESB Villeneuve
15. Motohashi N.	25. Massey B. IDK Gipuzkoa
75. Todo N.	34. Massey B. Estudiantes
23. Yamamoto M.	22. Mununga B. ESB Villeneuve
12. Yoshida A.	10. Resimont L. Kangoeroes Mechelen
Coaches
. Onzuka T.	. Meziane R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 3.

Japan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Belgium is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Belgium is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Japan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 480-474.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
01.08.24	Japan W - Germany W	64:75 ✺
29.07.24	USA W - Japan W	102:76 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
21.07.24	Japan W - Belgium W	65:75 ✺
19.07.24	France W - Japan W	75:62 ✺
06.07.24	Japan W - New Zealand W	92:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- Belgium W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
01.08.24	Belgium W - USA W	74:87 ✺
29.07.24	Germany W - Belgium W	83:69 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
21.07.24	Japan W - Belgium W	65:75 ✺
19.07.24	China W - Belgium W	57:79 ✺
12.07.24	Belgium W - Spain W	76:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball Women
21.07.24	Japan W - Belgium W	65:75
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
04.08.21	Japan W - Belgium W	86:85
Friendly International Basketball Women
15.07.21	Japan W - Belgium W	84:76
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
08.02.20	Belgium W - Japan W	92:84
Friendly International Basketball Women
02.06.19	Japan W - Belgium W	84:71
World Cup Basketball Women
23.09.18	Belgium W - Japan W	75:77 OT (68:68)

Japan W - Belgium W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide