Match Info

LKL

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)


	Jonava		Gargždai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.88
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.8	1.85
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.76	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
51.1%

Gargždai
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gargždai than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Jonava - Gargždai Predictions

Users Predictions: Gargždai will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gargždai will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Ashton-Langford M.	13. Gailius D. (C)
33. Carter O.	14. Petrilevicius P.
12. Kirves M.	5. Pipkins J.
8. Kreismontas L. (C)	11. Turner J.
11. Repsys M.	22. Vaistaras L.
Substitutes
9. Buika D.	2. Gervinas M.
1. Gerasimovas D.	8. Gervinas U.
23. Krikke B.	4. Giedraitis K.
20. Milukas M.	33. Meiers M.
13. Sidarevicius A.	7. Mineikis N.
0. Varner L.	1. Pulliam T.
Coaches
. Babrauskas S.	. Rinkevicius T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 3.

Jonava is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gargždai has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 746:726. (average 82.9:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 436:387. (average 87.2:77.4).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Gargzdai: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Gargzdai	4	3	1	359:357	0.750
8	Jonava	3	1	2	238:239	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonava BC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.02.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Jonava	88:85 OT ✺
07.02.26	Jonava - Rytas	84:101 ✺
01.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	104:91 ✺
25.01.26	Jonava - Šiauliai	79:85 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
17.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	89:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Gargždai-SC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.02.26	Gargždai - Žalgiris Kaunas	63:69 ✺
08.02.26	Šiauliai - Gargždai	83:73 ✺
01.02.26	Lietkabelis - Gargždai	70:79 ✺
10.01.26	Gargždai - Rytas	82:78 ✺
03.01.26	Jonava - Gargždai	75:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
03.01.26	Jonava - Gargždai	75:82
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
04.12.25	Jonava - Gargždai	97:82
30.10.25	Gargždai - Jonava	82:88
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.10.25	Gargždai - Jonava	103:73
28.12.23	Jonava - Gargždai	105:73
12.11.23	Gargždai - Jonava	86:80
18.04.23	Jonava - Gargždai	67:65

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