Match Info

NBL1 West - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Joondalup Wolves		Geraldton Buccaneers

	1	2
	2.45	1.45
	2.3	1.48
	2.45	1.5
	2.4	1.49
	2.4	1.48
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.25	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 188.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joondalup Wolves
38.4%

Geraldton Buccaneers
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joondalup Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Geraldton Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joondalup Wolves than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joondalup Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geraldton Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Geraldton Buccaneers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joondalup Wolves - Geraldton Buccaneers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:96

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joondalup won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Geraldton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Geraldton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Joondalup won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1091:1206. (average 83.9:92.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Joondalup won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 454:476. (average 90.8:95.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joondalup Wolves
Australian NBL1 West Women
01.08.26	Rockingham Flames - Joondalup Wolves	97:99 ✺
24.07.26	Joondalup Wolves - Mandurah Magic	111:104 ✺
Australian NBL1 West
18.07.26	Goldfields Giants - Joondalup Wolves	87:92 ✺
Australian NBL1 West Women
11.07.26	Joondalup Wolves - Rockingham Flames	69:97 ✺
Australian NBL1 West
04.07.26	Joondalup Wolves - Kalamunda Eastern Suns	98:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW
- Geraldton Buccaneers
Australian NBL1 West Women
07.08.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Willetton Tigers	78:74 ✺
01.08.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Cockburn Cougars	95:110 ✺
Australian NBL1 West
25.07.26	Perry Lakes Hawks - Geraldton Buccaneers	110:125 ✺
Australian NBL1 West Women
18.07.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - East Perth Eagles	91:73 ✺
Australian NBL1 West
12.07.26	Warwick Senators - Geraldton Buccaneers	64:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 West
13.06.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Joondalup Wolves	108:90
07.06.25	Geraldton Buccaneers - Joondalup Wolves	103:83
05.04.25	Joondalup Wolves - Geraldton Buccaneers	111:107 OT
30.06.24	Joondalup Wolves - Geraldton Buccaneers	72:89
01.06.24	Geraldton Buccaneers - Joondalup Wolves	100:89
12.08.23	Geraldton Buccaneers - Joondalup Wolves	86:80
10.06.23	Geraldton Buccaneers - Joondalup Wolves	74:67

Joondalup Wolves - Geraldton Buccaneers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide