Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)


	Porta XI Ensino		Universitario Ferrol

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.38	2.63
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	2.49 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porta XI Ensino
63.3%

Universitario Ferrol
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porta XI Ensino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Universitario Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porta XI Ensino than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porta XI Ensino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario Ferrol than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porta XI Ensino - Universitario Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Florez A.	14. Daniels D.
41. Giomi L.	22. Joiner M.
10. Haidara M.	13. Melia C.
31. Orsili A.	11. Millan B.
2. Tate I.	9. Sotolova K.
Substitutes
15. Fequiere J.	30. Baldonedo E.
14. Garfella E.	17. Fornos I.
17. Hernandez Z.	99. Joris I.
8. Nhug Bosch D.	20. Rodriguez Dominguez E.
3. van Schaik H.	3. Samson C. C.
	1. Sanchez A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ensino won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ensino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ensino won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 647:620. (average 71.9:68.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ensino won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 315:281. (average 78.8:70.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Ferrol W	4	2	2	277:310	6
14	Ensino W	4	1	3	248:312	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porta XI Ensino
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
14.02.26	Estepona - Porta XI Ensino	92:84 ✺
08.02.26	Porta XI Ensino - Zaragoza	70:67 ✺
31.01.26	Araski AES - Porta XI Ensino	55:71 ✺
25.01.26	Porta XI Ensino - Joventut Badalona	72:57 ✺
18.01.26	Gernika Bizkaia - Porta XI Ensino	84:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWL
- Universitario Ferrol
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
14.02.26	Universitario Ferrol - Gran Canaria 2014 Canarias	109:82 ✺
07.02.26	Gernika Bizkaia - Universitario Ferrol	77:86 ✺
31.01.26	Universitario Ferrol - Cadí La Seu	73:69 ✺
24.01.26	Estepona - Universitario Ferrol	65:49 ✺
Eurocup Women
21.01.26	Universitario Ferrol - CB Avenida	57:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
28.12.25	Universitario Ferrol - Porta XI Ensino	71:67
22.02.25	Porta XI Ensino - Universitario Ferrol	92:86
01.11.24	Universitario Ferrol - Porta XI Ensino	61:59
31.03.24	Porta XI Ensino - Universitario Ferrol	68:67
09.12.23	Universitario Ferrol - Porta XI Ensino	67:69
03.04.22	Porta XI Ensino - Universitario Ferrol	72:63
11.12.21	Universitario Ferrol - Porta XI Ensino	70:61

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