The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gernika Bizkaia 80.8%
Universitario Ferrol 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gernika Bizkaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika Bizkaia's performance.
Universitario Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika Bizkaia than the current prediction. (-22.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika Bizkaia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario Ferrol than the current prediction. (+22.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gernika Bizkaia - Universitario Ferrol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:66
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Jankovic M.
14. Daniels D.
7. Olaeta A.
25. Joiner M.
8. Salvadores A.
13. Melia C.
23. Vonleh A.
11. Millan B.
11. Westerik L.
9. Sotolova K.
Substitutes
22. Bessoir E.
99. Joris I.
24. Brown J.
12. Millan S.
16. Castedo E.
20. Rodriguez Dominguez E.
4. Matarranz E.
3. Samson C. C.
21. Polleros S.
1. Sanchez A.
5. Zubiaga N.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika Bizkaia won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Gernika Bizkaia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gernika Bizkaia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1327:1341. (average 69.8:70.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gernika Bizkaia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 675:629. (average 75:69.9).