Match Info

ACB - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Palau Municipal d'Esports de Badalona (Badalona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Joventut Badalona		Valencia

	1	2
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.70
	2.15	1.68
	2.16	1.65
	3.24	1.31	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.27	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joventut Badalona
41.4%

Valencia
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Joventut Badalona - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Joventut will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Valencia will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kraag Y.	1. Taylor K.
11. Parker J.	4. Pradilla J.
23. Ruzic M.	12. Sako N.
24. Hunt C.	8. Montero J.
9. Rubio R.	5. De Larrea S.
Substitutes
35. Birgander S.	0. Badio B.
0. Drell H.	23. Cardenas A.
12. Hakanson L.	24. Costello M.
88. Hanga A.	7. Key B.
25. Morin Y.	10. Moore O.
34. Niebla D.	77. Sima Y.
16. Vives G.	13. Thompson D.
Coaches
. Miret D.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

Valencia leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joventut won 1.

Recent performances by Joventut have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valencia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Joventut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Joventut has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Valencia will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Joventut won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1640:1759. (average 82:88).

Including home matches between the teams, Joventut won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 737:751. (average 81.9:83.4).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Valencia: 12.96% Joventut Badalona: 3.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Valencia	2	1	1	197:187	2
16	Joventut Badalona	1	0	1	104:110	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
12.06.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	90:76 ✺
10.06.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	118:117 OT ✺
07.06.26	Baskonia - Joventut Badalona	88:96 ✺
05.06.26	Joventut Badalona - Baskonia	82:63 ✺
03.06.26	Baskonia - Joventut Badalona	85:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWL
- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
12.06.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	90:76 ✺
10.06.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	118:117 OT ✺
05.06.26	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	71:88 ✺
03.06.26	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	83:80 ✺
31.05.26	Barcelona - Valencia	77:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
12.06.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	90:76
10.06.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	118:117 OT
Spanish Basketball Cup
19.02.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	95:84
Spanish ACB League
08.02.26	Joventut Badalona - Valencia	90:87
26.10.25	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	102:90
15.03.25	Joventut Badalona - Valencia	89:104
05.10.24	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	84:60

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