Match Info

ACB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Bilbao Arena (Bilbao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Bilbao Basket		Valencia

	1	2
	3.10	1.32	Watch
	3.00	1.40
	3.10	1.37
	3.30	1.35
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.40
	3.19	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.8)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilbao Basket
31.6%

Valencia
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilbao Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bilbao Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Bilbao Basket - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bilbao will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Valencia will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Frey H.	0. Badio B.
11. Hilliard D.	8. Montero J.
32. Hlinason T.	4. Pradilla J.
10. Krampelj M.	12. Sako N.
2. Normantas M.	1. Taylor K.
Substitutes
13. Bagayoko B.	23. Cardenas A.
22. Font A.	5. De Larrea S.
7. Jaworski J.	7. Key B.
73. Lazarevic S.	10. Moore O.
19. Pantzar M. J.	3. Reuvers N.
18. Petrasek L.	77. Sima Y.
20. Sylla A.	13. Thompson D.
Coaches
. Ponsarnau J.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

Valencia leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 0.

In recent matches, Bilbao has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bilbao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1577:1747. (average 78.9:87.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bilbao won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 739:781. (average 82.1:86.8).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Valencia: 12.96% Bilbao: 0.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Bilbao	2	1	1	208:196	2
7	Valencia	2	1	1	197:187	2

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.35%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
03.06.26	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	83:80 ✺
29.05.26	Canarias - Bilbao Basket	82:87 ✺
24.05.26	Bilbao Basket - Girona	86:80 ✺
17.05.26	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	88:83 ✺
14.05.26	Bilbao Basket - Real Madrid	88:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW
- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
03.06.26	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	83:80 ✺
31.05.26	Barcelona - Valencia	77:102 ✺
29.05.26	Valencia - Gran Canaria 2014	105:81 ✺
26.05.26	Basket Zaragoza - Valencia	86:98 ✺
Euroleague
22.05.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	90:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
03.06.26	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	83:80
17.05.26	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	88:83
02.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	72:116
08.03.25	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	89:70
27.10.24	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	98:103
11.02.24	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	93:78
03.12.23	Valencia - Bilbao Basket	79:85

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