Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Junior Casale		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.1	1.66
	2.01	1.66
	2.21	1.68
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.52)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Junior Casale
43.3%

Derthona Basket Tortona
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Casale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Junior Casale's performance.

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona Basket Tortona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Casale than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junior Casale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona Basket Tortona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Junior Casale - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Junior Casale will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Tortona will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior Casale: 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:76

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Junior Casale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tortona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tortona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Junior Casale have a series of guest games.

Tortona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Junior Casale won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 862-899.

Including matches at home between the teams Junior Casale won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 528-527.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Casale
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
21.03.21	Assigeco Piacenza - Junior Casale	98:76 ✺
17.03.21	Basket Torino - Junior Casale	73:77 ✺
14.03.21	Junior Casale - Basket Treviglio	87:68 ✺
07.03.21	Angelico Biella - Junior Casale	83:72 ✺
24.02.21	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Junior Casale	90:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
21.03.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Bergamo	62:73 ✺
14.03.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Pallacanestro Mantovana	74:79 ✺
11.03.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Udine	76:59 ✺
07.03.21	Verona - Derthona Basket Tortona	68:62 ✺
03.03.21	Basket Torino - Derthona Basket Tortona	75:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
17.01.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Junior Casale	83:43
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
26.01.20	Derthona Basket Tortona - Junior Casale	74:70
10.11.19	Junior Casale - Derthona Basket Tortona	81:60
17.02.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Junior Casale	70:62
11.11.18	Junior Casale - Derthona Basket Tortona	77:82
Club Friendly Basketball
08.09.18	Junior Casale - Derthona Basket Tortona	67:63
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
25.02.18	Junior Casale - Derthona Basket Tortona	88:90 OT (75:75)

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Eurocup
04.11.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Derthona Basket Tortona	✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.11.26	Udine - Derthona Basket Tortona	✺

Junior Casale - Derthona Basket Tortona