Match Info

NKL

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Olimpas Palanga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.57	2.29
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.56	2.27
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	2.27 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
59.3%

Olimpas Palanga
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Olimpas Palanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpas Palanga than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kazakauskas J.	11. Bruzas E.
14. Macionis G.	3. Danisevicius P. (C)
5. Staniulis M.	34. Narvilas M.
55. Warren J.	12. Pabrieza N.
13. Zabita R. (C)	40. Udras A.
Substitutes
6. Danys E.	1. Glover J.
9. Kazlauskas D.	7. Kymantas T.
8. Rudys T.	13. Mikalauskas L.
24. Tamulis A.	22. Runkauskas M.
23. Young J.	5. Stasys M.
7. Ziubrys J.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Kubilius E.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Olimpas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kretinga could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 250:294. (average 62.5:73.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 136:161. (average 68:80.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpas Palanga - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
22.11.25	Kretinga - Rytas 2	85:74 ✺
20.11.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	98:88 ✺
15.11.25	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	96:81 ✺
13.11.25	Telšiai - Kretinga	86:80 ✺
08.11.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kretinga	83:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW
- Olimpas Palanga
Lietuvos NKL
22.11.25	Olimpas Palanga - Jurbarkas-Karys	94:91 ✺
15.11.25	Olimpas Palanga - Rytas 2	85:93 ✺
13.11.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Olimpas Palanga	74:82 ✺
08.11.25	Olimpas Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	91:85 OT ✺
06.11.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Olimpas Palanga	73:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
19.12.24	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	64:74
24.10.24	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	66:48
02.12.23	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	67:66
12.10.23	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	72:87

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