Match Info

NKL

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: „Žalgirio“ treniruočių centras (Kaunas)


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Kretinga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.38	Watch
	1.74	2
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.46	2.39
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.43)	2.25 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
58.6%

Kretinga
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris-2's form might have worsened.

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kretinga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris-2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bulanovas M. (C)	6. Danys E.
8. Daubaris D.	22. Kazakauskas J.
4. Mikalauskas K.	5. Staniulis M.
10. Raupelis N.	55. Warren J.
7. Rudaitis J.	13. Zabita R. (C)
Substitutes
2. Adamson S.	14. Macionis G.
15. Cerneckis G.	8. Rudys T.
17. Lavrinovic T.	24. Tamulis A.
16. Stombergas I.	23. Young J.
3. Urbonavicius D.	7. Ziubrys J.
Coaches
. Kondratavicius R.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Žalgiris-2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Žalgiris-2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 920:790. (average 83.6:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris-2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 459:441. (average 76.5:73.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
27.11.25	Sūduva - Kauno Žalgiris-2	89:76 ✺
25.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	72:93 ✺
22.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Šilutė	114:107 OT ✺
20.11.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:71 ✺
15.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Alytaus Alytus	105:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
27.11.25	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	85:75 ✺
22.11.25	Kretinga - Rytas 2	85:74 ✺
20.11.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	98:88 ✺
15.11.25	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	96:81 ✺
13.11.25	Telšiai - Kretinga	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
09.01.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	87:73
10.10.24	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	65:90
11.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	83:87
09.03.24	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	72:88
07.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	64:67
14.12.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	71:75 OT
26.10.23	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	77:98

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