Match Info

NKL - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sport Center (Kedainiai) 🌤️ ...


	Kėdainiai		Vilniaus Stekas

	1	2
	1.80	1.87
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.72
	1.89	1.79	Watch
	1.93	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.64)	1.79 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kėdainiai
48.4%

Vilniaus Stekas
51.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kėdainiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kėdainiai's form might have worsened.

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilniaus Stekas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kėdainiai than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-4%)

Kėdainiai - Vilniaus Stekas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Danielius L. (C)	33. Bucas D.
44. Kuprijanovas M.	26. Morkunas D.
15. Lukosius I.	9. Seskus E.
13. Mulevicius G.	8. Simeus W.
7. Steponavicius V.	12. Tarvydas D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Malek A.	5. Adomavicius A.
9. Naslenas M.	1. Stephens E.
8. Razbadauskas M.	10. Troska T.
1. Vabalas V.	15. Warneranthony B.
	3. Zuklys I.
Coaches
. Butkus G.	. Stankevicius T.

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Kėdainiai has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kėdainiai has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 186:164 (averaging 93:82 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kėdainiai against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 105:94 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Kedainiai BC	9	4	5	704:740	4
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	737:817	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kėdainių BC
Lietuvos NKL
24.10.26	Kėdainiai - Plunges Olimpas	62:75 ✺
22.10.26	Kėdainiai - Rytas 2	83:69 ✺
17.10.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kėdainiai	81:72 ✺
15.10.26	Kėdainiai - Mažeikiai	92:85 ✺
10.10.26	Kėdainiai - Telšiai	61:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
24.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai	74:70 ✺
22.10.26	Telšiai - Vilniaus Stekas	104:70 ✺
17.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Olimpas Palanga	76:107 ✺
15.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	73:87 ✺
10.10.26	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	89:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
10.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kėdainiai	70:81
16.10.25	Kėdainiai - Vilniaus Stekas	105:94

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