Match Info

NKL

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge)


	Vilniaus Stekas		Olimpas Palanga

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.58	Watch
	2.06	1.69
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.37)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Stekas
43.6%

Olimpas Palanga
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilniaus Stekas's performance.

Olimpas Palanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpas Palanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilniaus Stekas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpas Palanga than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpas Palanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilniaus Stekas - Olimpas Palanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Brusokas K. (C)	11. Bruzas E.
33. Bucas D.	3. Danisevicius P. (C)
3. Edwards R.	12. Pabrieza N.
23. Subotkevic R.	40. Udras A.
2. Sukelis J.	91. Zabitis J.
Substitutes
4. Causwell N.	9. Agajev D.
12. Jonuska K.	1. Glover J.
0. Rotardier K.	13. Mikalauskas L.
13. Saulis V.	22. Runkauskas M.
19. Serksnas M.	17. Sadauskas J.
22. Urbanavicius K.	5. Stasys M.
Coaches
. Stankevicius T.	. Kubilius E.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Olimpas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 279:332. (average 69.8:83).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilniaus Stekas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 146:165. (average 73:82.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
08.11.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	74:94 ✺
06.11.25	Telšiai - Vilniaus Stekas	85:81 ✺
30.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vilniaus Stekas	116:84 ✺
25.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Plunges Olimpas	89:87 ✺
23.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	98:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Olimpas Palanga
Lietuvos NKL
08.11.25	Olimpas Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	91:85 OT ✺
06.11.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Olimpas Palanga	73:60 ✺
30.10.25	Olimpas Palanga - Perlas Vilkaviškis	90:82 ✺
25.10.25	Olimpas Palanga - Kėdainiai	79:104 ✺
23.10.25	Alytaus Alytus - Olimpas Palanga	98:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
05.12.24	Olimpas Palanga - Vilniaus Stekas	85:70
14.11.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Olimpas Palanga	66:83
14.12.23	Vilniaus Stekas - Olimpas Palanga	80:82
26.10.23	Olimpas Palanga - Vilniaus Stekas	82:63

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