Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge)


	Vilniaus Stekas		Omega Tauras

	1	2
	1.8	1.84
	1.76	1.99
	1.93	1.76
	1.8	1.85
	1.73	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Stekas
51.1%

Omega Tauras
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Omega Tauras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omega Tauras than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vilniaus Stekas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Bucas D.	5. Galeckas T.
0. Rotardier K.	4. Keliacius R.
5. Simeus W.	23. Navickas A.
23. Subotkevic R.	8. Sulskis V.
22. Urbanavicius K.	12. Vasiliauskas S. (C)
Substitutes
10. Brusokas K.	22. Krivickas L.
13. Buskevicius A.	7. Linartas N.
2. Egbuta J.	9. Seputis O.
12. Jonuska K. (C)	3. Vydmantas N.
4. Klevinskas M.
26. Morkunas D.
Coaches
. Stankevicius T.	. Kurtinaitis G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 2.

Vilniaus Stekas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Omega Tauras is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Omega Tauras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 576:622. (average 82.3:88.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilniaus Stekas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 234:262. (average 78:87.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Omega-Tauras	3	3	0	302:252	3
10	Ukmerges Stekas	3	1	2	269:257	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
03.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Jurbarkas-Karys	79:87 ✺
26.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	98:82 ✺
21.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	80:94 ✺
19.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	77:70 ✺
10.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kėdainiai	70:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Omega Tauras
Lietuvos NKL
26.02.26	Omega Tauras - Olimpas Palanga	65:80 ✺
22.02.26	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	85:80 ✺
19.02.26	Omega Tauras - Alytaus Alytus	83:80 ✺
14.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Omega Tauras	83:64 ✺
07.02.26	Omega Tauras - Olimpas Palanga	87:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
24.01.26	Omega Tauras - Vilniaus Stekas	85:90
08.11.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	74:94
11.03.25	Omega Tauras - Vilniaus Stekas	85:75
09.03.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	79:90
06.03.25	Omega Tauras - Vilniaus Stekas	98:100
23.11.24	Omega Tauras - Vilniaus Stekas	92:77
21.11.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	81:78

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