Match Info
AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 1Date: 3 March 2026, TuesdayLocation: Dvorana KK Split (Split)Referee: Arsenijevic R. (Srb)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
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KK Split |
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Ilirija |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.19 |
|
4 |
|
 |
1.3 |
|
3.25 |
|
 |
1.31 |
|
3.39 |
|
 |
1.35 |
|
2.96 |
 Watch |
 |
1.14 |
|
5 |
|
 |
1.37 |
|
3.17 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.53) |
|
3.63 ↑
(2.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KK Split's performance.Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilirija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KK Split that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+16.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilirija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.KK Split - Ilirija Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Split will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilirija will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilirija (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -6.5 - Split (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +12.5, OT - Ilirija (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 170.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Split (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ilirija (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:80 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
24.  Dreznjak D.
| 1.  Green W.
|
5. Jordano A.
| 35.  Kures L.
|
0. Myers T.
| 51.  Marjanovic B.
|
1. Sikiric A.
| 8. Muric E.
|
33. Stephens J.
| 9. Tomazic T.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
3.  Anticevich G.
| 55. Boisa L.
|
30. Dragic Z.
| 11. Faganel L.
|
25. Jemo R.
| 13. Jurkovic R.
|
10. Kucic V.
| 4. Padjen M.
|
6. Perasovic I.
| 6. Skorjanc G.
|
11. Svoboda N.
| 23. Vukotic T.
|
2. Wiggins D.
| |
| Coaches |
|---|
. Repesa D.
| . Modric S.
|
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 17 in the zone AdmiralBet ABA League (Relegation)).Split is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Ilirija has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Split may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Split has had a series of home games. In this match, Split is a strong favorite. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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