Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dvorana KK Split (Split)

Referee: Tomic V. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	KK Split		Vienna Basket

	1	2
	1.52	2.4
	1.51	2.57
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.52	2.58	Watch
	1.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	2.42 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK Split
61.3%

Vienna Basket
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Vienna Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Basket than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

KK Split - Vienna Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dragic Z.	41. Bajo D.
24. Dreznjak D.	0. Boum S.
5. Jordano A.	2. Hunter S.
0. Myers T.	13. Jarumbauskas S.
2. Wiggins D.	8. Runjic L.
Substitutes
3. Anticevich G.	5. Asceric L.
10. Kucic V.	32. Cotton T.
55. Marinelli P.	24. Mahalbasic R.
6. Perasovic I.	1. Murkey A.
1. Sikiric A.	11. Pavicevic M.
33. Stephens J.	21. Stazic A.
11. Svoboda N.	23. Stojanovic V.
Coaches
. Rajkovic M.	. Coffin M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 16).

Split is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vienna Basket has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vienna Basket may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Split is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Split
Adriatic League
15.03.26	Spartak Subotica - KK Split	92:71 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
13.03.26	Kvarner - KK Split	104:99 ✺
09.03.26	KK Split - Dinamo Zagreb	94:99 ✺
Adriatic League
06.03.26	KK Zadar - KK Split	106:77 ✺
03.03.26	KK Split - Ilirija	107:112 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vienna Basket
Austrian Superliga Basketball
15.03.26	UBSC Graz - Vienna Basket	115:79 ✺
Adriatic League
14.03.26	Vienna Basket - Studentski Centar	91:79 ✺
Austrian Superliga Basketball
11.03.26	Vienna Basket - Kapfenberg Bulls	80:101 ✺
09.03.26	Vienna Basket - WBC Raiffeisen Wels	93:82 ✺
Adriatic League
06.03.26	Borac Čačak - Vienna Basket	85:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

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