Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 16

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Dvorana Kresimira Cosica (Zadar)

Referee: Radojkovic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	KK Zadar		Cedevita Olimpija

	1	2
	3.5	1.27
	3.64	1.27
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.25
	3.81	1.28
	3.7	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.07)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK Zadar
25.9%

Cedevita Olimpija
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK Zadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cedevita Olimpija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KK Zadar than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedevita Olimpija than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

KK Zadar - Cedevita Olimpija Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. KK Zadar will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Cedevita Olimpija will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KK Zadar: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5, OT - Cedevita Olimpija (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +8.5, OT - KK Zadar (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 161.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KK Zadar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. KK Zadar (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cedevita Olimpija (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Buljevic L.	7. Brajkovic L.
44. Kapusta B.	2. Girard III J.
14. Mazalin L.	5. Nikolic A.
1. Mihailovic V.	3. Radovic R.
46. Ramljak M.	24. Skara D.
Substitutes
25. Dundovic M.	20. Cerkvenik M.
4. Gulan L.	1. Gibson U.
6. Klarica K.	21. Hurt M.
7. Tisma B.	54. Kennedy T.
55. Tkachenko I.	0. Stewart D.J.
99. Torbarina T.	16. Ustun D.
Coaches
. Jusup D.	. Mitrovic Z.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cedevita Olimpija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KK Zadar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cedevita Olimpija is considered a favorite.

We predict that KK Zadar will win today's game, with odds of 3.12.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1023:1019. (average 78.7:78.4).

Including home matches between the teams, KK Zadar won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 506:432. (average 84.3:72).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Zadar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
19.01.26	KK Zadar - GKK Šibenka	91:71 ✺
Adriatic League
17.01.26	KK Zadar - Crvena Zvezda	67:80 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
14.01.26	Dubrava - KK Zadar	80:85 ✺
Adriatic League
11.01.26	KK Zadar - KK Budućnost	66:87 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
09.01.26	KK Zadar - Samobor	84:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLW
- Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup
20.01.26	Cedevita Olimpija - U BT Cluj-Napoca	86:80 ✺
Adriatic League
17.01.26	Cedevita Olimpija - KK Budućnost	72:83 ✺
Eurocup
13.01.26	Neptūnas - Cedevita Olimpija	85:104 ✺
Adriatic League
10.01.26	Vienna Basket - Cedevita Olimpija	93:89 ✺
Eurocup
06.01.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Bahcesehir Koleji	59:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
19.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - KK Zadar	97:72
16.03.25	Cedevita Olimpija - KK Zadar	80:75 OT
09.11.24	KK Zadar - Cedevita Olimpija	81:73
16.03.24	KK Zadar - Cedevita Olimpija	88:65
03.12.23	Cedevita Olimpija - KK Zadar	73:79
12.03.23	KK Zadar - Cedevita Olimpija	81:59
26.11.22	Cedevita Olimpija - KK Zadar	97:79

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