Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Dvorana Kresimira Cosica (Zadar)

Referee: Porobic D. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	KK Zadar		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	6.25	1.09
	6.56	1.08	Watch
	6.5	1.1
	6.88	1.11
	6.5	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.54 ↑ (5.23)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK Zadar
14.4%

Crvena Zvezda
85.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

82.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK Zadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

KK Zadar - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. KK Zadar will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KK Zadar: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +15.5, OT - KK Zadar (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +16.5 - KK Zadar (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KK Zadar will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. KK Zadar (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Buljevic L.	21. Bolomboy J.
14. Mazalin L.	13. Dobric O.
1. Mihailovic V.	2. Miljenovic S.
46. Ramljak M.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
7. Tisma B.	95. Moneke C.
Substitutes
17. Bozikovic A.	6. Butler J.
25. Dundovic M.	7. Davidovac D.
4. Gulan L.	4. Graham D.
44. Kapusta B.	15. Izundu E.
6. Klarica K.	12. Kalinic N.
55. Tkachenko I.	20. Motiejunas D.
99. Torbarina T.	99. Yago
Coaches
. Jusup D.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1445:1795. (average 72.3:89.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KK Zadar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 722:861. (average 72.2:86.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Zadar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
14.01.26	Dubrava - KK Zadar	80:85 ✺
Adriatic League
11.01.26	KK Zadar - KK Budućnost	66:87 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
09.01.26	KK Zadar - Samobor	84:67 ✺
05.01.26	KK Zadar - Zabok	87:55 ✺
Adriatic League
02.01.26	Bosna - KK Zadar	93:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
15.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Crvena Zvezda	96:104 ✺
Adriatic League
12.01.26	Crvena Zvezda - Bosna	97:92 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	99:67 ✺
06.01.26	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	89:106 ✺
Adriatic League
04.01.26	Ilirija - Crvena Zvezda	74:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
06.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - KK Zadar	79:85
02.03.25	Crvena Zvezda - KK Zadar	87:76
26.10.24	KK Zadar - Crvena Zvezda	77:84
11.02.24	Crvena Zvezda - KK Zadar	93:54
12.11.23	KK Zadar - Crvena Zvezda	74:81
08.05.23	KK Zadar - Crvena Zvezda	63:74
28.04.23	Crvena Zvezda - KK Zadar	100:73

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