Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 7

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Dvorana Kresimira Cosica (Zadar)

Referee: Savovic R. (Mne)


	KK Zadar		Mega Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	3
	1.36	3.09
	1.35	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK Zadar
69%

Mega Basket
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK Zadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Zadar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

KK Zadar - Mega Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. KK Zadar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mega Basket will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 168, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mega Basket will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Beech B.	3. Dulovic A.
46. Ramljak M.	6. Markovic B.
9. Zganec K.	19. Suigo L.
44. Kapusta B.	5. Drezgic S.
1. Mihailovic V.	8. Kroflic U.
Substitutes
17. Bozikovic A.	35. Gacic L.
25. Dundovic M.	0. Milenkovic A.
4. Gulan L.	77. Musicki A.
6. Klarica K.	4. Radojicic V.
14. Mazalin L.	11. Siby A.
99. Torbarina T.	23. Srzentic O.
	7. Vukcevic M.
Coaches
. Jusup D.	. Avdalovic V.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mega Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

KK Zadar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that KK Zadar will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1642:1682. (average 82.1:84.1).

Including home matches between the teams, KK Zadar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 770:765. (average 85.6:85).

Last Results with these Odds

KK Zadar - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.96%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Zadar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
09.11.25	KK Zadar - Dinamo Zagreb	82:72 ✺
Adriatic League
07.11.25	KK Zadar - Bosna	77:78 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
03.11.25	GKK Šibenka - KK Zadar	70:94 ✺
Adriatic League
01.11.25	KK Budućnost - KK Zadar	98:87 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
27.10.25	KK Zadar - Dubrava	105:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLW
- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
31.10.25	Mega Basket - Ilirija	109:83 ✺
25.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Mega Basket	94:73 ✺
17.10.25	Vienna Basket - Mega Basket	88:81 ✺
12.10.25	Mega Basket - Bosna	106:88 ✺
05.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Mega Basket	117:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
30.03.25	Mega Basket - KK Zadar	75:74
02.12.24	KK Zadar - Mega Basket	65:68
06.02.24	KK Zadar - Mega Basket	74:71
05.11.23	Mega Basket - KK Zadar	91:81
ABA Super Cup
20.09.23	Mega Basket - KK Zadar	78:101
Adriatic League
23.01.23	Mega Basket - KK Zadar	80:77
17.10.22	KK Zadar - Mega Basket	96:90

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