Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Kansas State Wildcats		UCF Knights

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.7	2.05
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.64	2.19
	1.62	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kansas State Wildcats
58%

UCF Knights
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kansas State Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

UCF Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas State Wildcats than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kansas State Wildcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCF Knights than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCF Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kansas State Wildcats - UCF Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

UCF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kansas State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 153:132. (average 76.5:66).

Including home match between the teams, Kansas State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 77:52.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kansas State Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Arizona State Sun Devils - Kansas State Wildcats	87:84 ✺
07.01.26	Arizona Wildcats - Kansas State Wildcats	101:76 ✺
03.01.26	Kansas State Wildcats - Brigham Young Cougars	73:83 ✺
28.12.25	Kansas State Wildcats - Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	94:85 ✺
20.12.25	Kansas State Wildcats - South Dakota Coyotes	106:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWW
- UCF Knights basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.01.26	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	73:72 ✺
06.01.26	Oklahoma State Cowboys - UCF Knights	87:76 ✺
03.01.26	UCF Knights - Kansas Jayhawks	81:75 ✺
23.12.25	Florida Atlantic Owls - UCF Knights	85:80 ✺
20.12.25	UCF Knights - Florida Gulf Coast Eagles	102:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
26.02.25	UCF Knights - Kansas State Wildcats	80:76
06.01.24	Kansas State Wildcats - UCF Knights	77:52

Kansas State Wildcats - UCF Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide