Match Info

National League

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Kaspiy Aktau		Barsy Atyrau

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)	2.35 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
61%

Barsy Atyrau
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaspiy Aktau's performance.

Barsy Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barsy Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaspiy Aktau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barsy Atyrau than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barsy Atyrau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ivanov V.	35. Kuantaev A.
7. Marchuk R.	40. Mays M.
4. McGill E.	55. Rabchenyuk B.
15. Petrishinets V.	77. Samsin R.
22. Rolgeyzer A.	74. Uapov M.
Substitutes
11. Denisov D.	21. Benson J.
1. Dots V.	5. Marat A.
2. Korganbaev G.	33. Omarov A.
35. Moorman J. P.	8. Oralbekov A.
3. Musuraliev I.	11. Utegen K.
5. Neff K.	95. Zhanibekov A.
77. Nurlybay A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 5.

Kaspiy Aktau is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barsy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kaspiy Aktau could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1512:1622. (average 75.6:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy Aktau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 766:868. (average 76.6:86.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaspiy Aktau Basketball
Kazakh National League Basketball
11.01.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Barsy Atyrau	101:91 ✺
20.12.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Tobol Kostanay	105:62 ✺
19.12.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Tobol Kostanay	75:81
08.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	64:78 ✺
07.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	68:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW
- Barsy Atyrau
Kazakh National League Basketball
11.01.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Barsy Atyrau	101:91 ✺
22.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	94:72
14.12.25	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	73:83 ✺
13.12.25	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	88:92 ✺
08.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	64:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh National League Basketball
11.01.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Barsy Atyrau	101:91
08.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	64:78
07.12.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	68:92
15.03.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	60:85
14.03.25	Barsy Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	62:71
12.11.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Barsy Atyrau	76:78
11.11.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Barsy Atyrau	73:85

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