Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 30

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: IKH Areena (Kauhajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Kauhajoen Karhu		Korihait

	1	2
			Watch
	2.12	1.65
	2.4	1.58
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.37	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.91)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauhajoen Karhu
42.1%

Korihait
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauhajoen Karhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauhajoen Karhu's form might have worsened.

Korihait has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Korihait's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauhajoen Karhu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauhajoen Karhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korihait, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kauhajoen Karhu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Korihait will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Kauhajoen Karhu (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 - Kauhajoen Karhu (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauhajoen Karhu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Berry T.	50. Aalto M.
14. Kanden O. (C)	20. Champion F.
7. Luukkonen E.	40. Jackson J.
4. Nweke I.	7. Sarcevic B. (C)
5. Salmi J.	10. Tahvanainen V.
Substitutes
8. Ahonen A.	6. Ahvenjarvi R.
55. Aidoo F.	11. Eklund L.
25. Koivunen K.	21. Goracke B.
35. Laavainen A.	13. Harris J.
	8. Herrala J.
	16. Laihonen M.
Coaches
. Koskimies J.	. Ivanovic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 4.

Kauhajoen Karhu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Korihait is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1803:1546. (average 90.2:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauhajoen Karhu won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 912:704. (average 91.2:70.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Karhu Basket	3	1	2	227:231	2
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	3	1	2	262:271	2

Last Results with these Odds

Kauhajoen Karhu - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.81%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Korihait - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.19%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauhajoen Karhu
Finnish Korisliiga
07.03.26	Salon Vilpas - Kauhajoen Karhu	94:71 ✺
21.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	61:86 ✺
17.02.26	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	93:85 ✺
14.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	82:79 ✺
07.02.26	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	105:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
07.03.26	Korihait - Helsinki Seagulls	86:73 ✺
20.02.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	75:90 ✺
17.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	95:86 ✺
14.02.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	107:102 ✺
07.02.26	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	105:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
07.02.26	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	105:91
14.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	97:90 OT
08.11.25	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	77:84
01.03.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	95:72
25.01.25	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	99:100 OT
15.01.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	72:60
16.11.24	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	89:91

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