Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 27

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Steveco-Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KTP Kotka Basket		Korihait

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.63	2.18
	2.02	1.8
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.72	2.05
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka Basket
52.2%

Korihait
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka Basket's form might have worsened.

Korihait has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Korihait's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP Basket (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Granlund J.	50. Aalto M.
44. Polla H.	20. Champion F.
7. Raitanen R.	21. Goracke B.
2. Sapwell K.	40. Jackson J.
8. Taylor J.	7. Sarcevic B. (C)
Substitutes
24. Carver A. (C)	6. Ahvenjarvi R.
42. Purola M.	11. Eklund L.
11. Stepanoff H.	13. Harris J.
23. Turtiainen A.	8. Herrala J.
	16. Laihonen M.
	10. Tahvanainen V.
Coaches
. Mihajlovic D.	. Ivanovic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP Basket won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Korihait may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

KTP Basket is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP Basket won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1904:1706. (average 95.2:85.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP Basket won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 988:830. (average 98.8:83).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	KTP Kotka Basket	3	3	0	259:214	6
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	3	1	2	262:271	2

Last Results with these Odds

Korihait - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.77%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka Basket
Finnish Korisliiga
14.02.26	Salon Vilpas - KTP Kotka Basket	88:75 ✺
10.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	79:73 ✺
03.02.26	Espoon Honka - KTP Kotka Basket	93:98 ✺
30.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	81:88 ✺
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW
- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
14.02.26	Korihait - Espoon Honka	107:102 ✺
07.02.26	Korihait - Kauhajoen Karhu	105:91 ✺
04.02.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	88:90 ✺
31.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	73:83 ✺
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT
22.11.25	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	81:71
21.12.24	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	106:88
01.11.24	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	79:61
13.01.24	Korihait - KTP Kotka Basket	101:89
10.11.23	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	90:96
13.12.22	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:97

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