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Current Win Probability
Kauno Žalgiris-2 24.7%
Jurbarkas-Karys 75.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.8%
69.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
63.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris-2's form might have worsened.
Jurbarkas-Karys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurbarkas-Karys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris-2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jurbarkas-Karys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jurbarkas Karys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:92
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Lineups
2. Adamson S.
16. Cizauskas V.
71. Barzdaitis M.
6. Giga N.
12. Bulanovas M. (C)
1. Juskevicius A.
55. Grunkis D.
17. Kokoska K.
9. Jakstonis D.
7. Kulvietis S.
22. Krivas G.
10. Lipkevicius V. (C)
7. Lavrinovic T.
2. Nausedas J.
66. Mistautas N.
5. Stasys M.
1. Sabeckas K.
13. Vancys P.
8. Steckis E.
23. Volbikas A.
3. Urbonavicius D.
27. Zdanavicius T.
Coaches
. Vecvagars K.
. Valaitis P.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 3.
Žalgiris-2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Jurbarkas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Žalgiris-2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Jurbarkas carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Žalgiris-2 has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 703:695 (averaging 78.1:77.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Žalgiris-2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 321:323 goals (averaging 80.3:80.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
1
Jurbarkas
7
7
0
635:509
7
11
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
9
4
5
857:859
4
Last Results with these Odds
Kauno Žalgiris-2 - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.