Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sakiu sporto centras (Sakiai)


	Vytis Šakiai		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.7	1.96	Watch
	1.72	1.96
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.65	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)	1.96 (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vytis Šakiai
53.6%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vytis Šakiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Celka G. (C)	12. Bulanovas M. (C)
13. Leliukas K.	4. Mikalauskas K.
12. Mikstas A.	10. Raupelis N.
23. Rubinas J.	7. Rudaitis J.
2. Vaivada N.	16. Stombergas I.
Substitutes
22. Janusevicius T.	2. Adamson S.
11. Jocys R.	35. Brnovic M.
0. Kupstas D.	55. Grunkis D.
18. Lebskas N.	17. Lavrinovic T.
6. Mazeika G.	3. Urbonavicius D.
1. Norutis R.
3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Kuciauskas E.	. Kondratavicius R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 2.

Vytis Šakiai is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Žalgiris-2 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Žalgiris-2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1573:1577. (average 78.7:78.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vytis Šakiai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 778:804. (average 77.8:80.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
8	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	3	2	1	302:295	2

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris-2 - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.3%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
05.03.26	Kėdainiai - Vytis Šakiai	87:89 ✺
28.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	94:87 ✺
26.02.26	Sūduva - Vytis Šakiai	98:91 ✺
19.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai	109:93 ✺
05.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	88:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
05.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	79:58 ✺
24.02.26	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	83:93 ✺
21.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sūduva	83:81 ✺
19.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	102:74 ✺
07.02.26	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
27.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	77:87
16.10.25	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	84:96
27.02.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	103:90
17.12.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	79:84
24.10.24	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	90:100
10.02.24	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	94:79
08.02.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	94:87

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