Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.26	3.5
	1.28	3.4
	1.29	3.4
	1.29	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.14)	3.39 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
72.6%

Neptūnas
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris-2's form might have worsened.

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:71

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Žalgiris-2 won 5.

Žalgiris-2 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris-2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Neptūnas have a series of home games.

In this match Žalgiris-2 is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Žalgiris-2 won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 732-629.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris-2 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 337-280.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
14.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Jurbarkas-Karys	72:75 ✺
12.10.23	Delikatesas Joniškis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	79:70 ✺
09.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sudūva-Mantinga	73:82 ✺
07.10.23	Olimpas Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	87:72 ✺
05.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	72:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
19.10.23	Neptūnas - Vilniaus Stekas	72:67 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
18.10.23	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	92:90 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.10.23	Neptūnas - Pieno Zvaigzdes	112:87 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
14.10.23	Šilutė - Neptūnas	79:75 ✺
12.10.23	Neptūnas - Perlas Vilkaviškis	87:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
05.01.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	78:58
03.11.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	67:77
25.11.21	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	74:64
28.10.21	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	66:91
07.01.21	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	59:75
29.10.20	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	92:78
11.01.20	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas	93:80

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