Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Silutes Vyduno gimnazija (Silute)


	Šilutė		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.66
	1.4	2.93
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	2.75 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šilutė
66.2%

Neptūnas
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šilutė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šilutė than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Šilutė that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neptūnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Šilutė - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Šilutė won 3.

Šilutė is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neptūnas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Šilutė will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Šilutė won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1250-1216.

Including matches at home between the teams Šilutė won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 624-626.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Šilutė
Lietuvos NKL
25.01.24	Kretinga - Šilutė	84:83 ✺
20.01.24	Šilutė - Vilniaus Stekas	68:82 ✺
18.01.24	Šilutė - Delikatesas Joniškis	92:81 ✺
06.01.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Šilutė	84:73 ✺
04.01.24	Šilutė - Vilniaus Stekas	58:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
25.01.24	Neptūnas - Delikatesas Joniškis	74:89 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
21.01.24	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	79:76 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
20.01.24	Neptūnas - Rytas 2	78:69 ✺
18.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	77:82 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.01.24	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
30.11.23	Neptūnas - Šilutė	76:68
14.10.23	Šilutė - Neptūnas	79:75
08.12.22	Šilutė - Neptūnas	63:77
27.10.22	Neptūnas - Šilutė	68:84
16.12.21	Šilutė - Neptūnas	76:63
30.11.21	Neptūnas - Šilutė	54:75
28.01.21	Neptūnas - Šilutė	89:72

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