Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Vilniaus Stekas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.04	1.75
	1.95	1.87
	1.92	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
47.2%

Vilniaus Stekas
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Neptūnas - Vilniaus Stekas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 2.

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilniaus Stekas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Neptūnas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vilniaus Stekas have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Vilniaus Stekas to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 490-560.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 215-218.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
17.02.24	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas	88:89 ✺
15.02.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	89:76 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
12.02.24	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:95 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
10.02.24	Neptūnas - Kretinga	96:84 ✺
08.02.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas	84:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
22.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	93:79 ✺
17.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	86:75 ✺
15.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	82:76 ✺
10.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Atletas	73:61 ✺
08.02.24	Kauno Atletas - Vilniaus Stekas	56:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
01.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas	79:75
09.12.23	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas	78:64
19.10.23	Neptūnas - Vilniaus Stekas	72:67
23.02.23	Neptūnas - Vilniaus Stekas	90:89 OT
26.01.23	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas	102:65
14.01.23	Neptūnas - Vilniaus Stekas	53:62
12.11.22	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas	83:71

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