Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 18 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)


	Kauno Atletas		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.48	2.45
	1.44	2.78
	1.4	2.75
	1.47	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.24)	2.64 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Atletas
64.5%

Neptūnas
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Atletas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Atletas's form might have worsened.

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.

Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 3.

Kauno Atletas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neptūnas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neptūnas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Neptūnas have a series of home games.

Kauno Atletas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 741-667.

Including matches at home between the teams Kauno Atletas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 410-360.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Atletas
Lietuvos NKL
09.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Delikatesas Joniškis	83:62 ✺
06.01.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	69:68 ✺
04.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Sūduva	78:86 ✺
23.12.23	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	78:85 ✺
21.12.23	Olimpas Palanga - Kauno Atletas	88:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.01.24	Neptūnas - Gargždai	100:81 ✺
07.01.24	Neptūnas - Juventus Utena	78:91 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
06.01.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	69:68 ✺
04.01.24	Telšiai - Neptūnas	86:72 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
03.01.24	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	91:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
06.01.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	69:68
11.11.23	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	77:83
24.11.22	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	88:54
08.10.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	81:86 OT (73:73)
22.03.22	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	78:70
19.03.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	75:89
17.03.22	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	70:61

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