Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: „Žalgirio“ treniruočių centras (Kaunas)


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	1.58	2.15	Watch
	1.63	2.17
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.16
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	2.16 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
57.3%

Mažeikiai
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Mažeikiai Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Žalgiris-2 will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mažeikiai will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris-2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bulanovas M. (C)	1. Mokseckas G. (C)
8. Daubaris D.	12. Motuzas M.
4. Mikalauskas K.	14. Narusevicius E.
10. Raupelis N.	3. Neal N.
7. Rudaitis J.	4. Young C. K.
Substitutes
2. Adamson S.	13. Karasov P.
35. Brnovic M.	5. Marquett Epps D.
15. Cerneckis G.	31. Rimsa T.
55. Grunkis D.	8. Rubinas D.
17. Lavrinovic T.	7. Stropus J.
16. Stombergas I.
3. Urbonavicius D.
Coaches
. Kondratavicius R.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 2.

Žalgiris-2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mažeikiai is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Žalgiris-2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Mažeikiai will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1568:1519. (average 78.4:76).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris-2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 821:804. (average 82.1:80.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	3	2	1	302:295	2
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
07.02.26	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:104 ✺
05.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sūduva	80:94 ✺
31.01.26	Omega Tauras - Kauno Žalgiris-2	83:72 ✺
29.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Telšiai	105:91 ✺
27.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Vytis Šakiai	77:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
07.02.26	Mažeikiai - Šilutė	102:83 ✺
03.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Mažeikiai	79:86 ✺
31.01.26	Mažeikiai - Jurbarkas-Karys	84:83 ✺
29.01.26	Olimpas Palanga - Mažeikiai	73:80 ✺
24.01.26	Mažeikiai - Alytaus Alytus	94:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
10.01.26	Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	78:91
25.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	72:93
22.04.23	Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	65:69
25.02.23	Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	71:62
28.01.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	71:88
15.12.22	Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	63:74
20.10.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	85:73

Upcoming Matches