Match Info

NKL - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga) 🌤️ ...


	Kretinga		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
	1.59	2.18
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.70	2.08
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.70	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.18)	2.06 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
55.3%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kretinga's performance.

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris-2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kretinga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris-2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Danys E. (C)	2. Adamson S.
24. Metrikis K.	71. Barzdaitis M.
5. Staniulis M.	12. Bulanovas M. (C)
55. Warren J.	55. Grunkis D.
23. Young J.	7. Lavrinovic T.
Substitutes
0. Adomaitis D.	9. Jakstonis D.
3. Bruzas E.	22. Krivas G.
1. Grybas K.	91. Kukta J.
2. Sarauskas D.	66. Mistautas N.
8. Ziubrys J.	1. Sabeckas K.
	8. Steckis E.
	3. Urbonavicius D.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Vecvagars K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 1.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Kretinga is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Kretinga has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 940:1115 (averaging 72.3:85.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kretinga against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 413:565 goals (averaging 68.8:94.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	9	4	5	857:859	4
15	Kretinga	8	1	7	643:723	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
22.10.26	Alytaus Patriotai - Kretinga	90:70 ✺
17.10.26	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	72:84 ✺
15.10.26	Kretinga - Sūduva	83:88 ✺
10.10.26	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	89:98 ✺
08.10.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	98:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
22.10.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Jurbarkas-Karys	79:93 ✺
17.10.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	104:92 ✺
15.10.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kauno Atletas	107:83 ✺
10.10.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sūduva	94:106 ✺
08.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	108:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
07.02.26	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:104
29.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	91:86
09.01.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	87:73
10.10.24	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	65:90
11.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	83:87
09.03.24	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	72:88
07.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	64:67

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