Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: „Žalgirio“ treniruočių centras (Kaunas)


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Palanga

	1	2
	1.13	4.7
	1.18	4.28
	1.16	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)	4.53 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
79.6%

Palanga
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris-2's performance.

Palanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kauno Žalgiris-2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palanga than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Palanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:70

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Žalgiris-2 won 4.

Žalgiris-2 in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Palanga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Žalgiris-2 is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Žalgiris-2 won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1443-1336.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris-2 won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 825-731.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
17.11.22	Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:80 ✺
12.11.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Telšiai	81:76 ✺
10.11.22	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	80:103 ✺
05.11.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	84:67 ✺
03.11.22	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	67:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- BC Palanga
Lietuvos NKL
17.11.22	Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:80 ✺
12.11.22	Mažeikiai - Palanga	79:72 ✺
10.11.22	Palanga - Šilutė	91:77 ✺
05.11.22	Delikatesas Joniškis - Palanga	73:78 ✺
03.11.22	Palanga - Perlas Vilkaviškis	90:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
17.11.22	Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:80
11.12.21	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Palanga	76:63
16.10.21	Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	85:88
17.12.20	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Palanga	74:85 OT (71:71)
22.10.20	Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	78:79
28.11.19	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Palanga	90:82
05.10.19	Palanga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	89:93 OT (76:76)

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