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Current Win Probability
Kawasaki Brave Thunders 25.2%
Toyota Alvark 74.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
71.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
65%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Brave Thunders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Toyota Alvark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Brave Thunders than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Brave Thunders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toyota Alvark, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Toyota Alvark Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:89
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Abdur-Rahkman M.
9. Ando S.
1. Araya H.
1. Hogg D. J.
5. Bonds M.
11. Johnson K.
53. Kirk A.
22. Rossiter R.
4. LeDee J.
3. Toews K. (C)
Substitutes
33. Hasegawa T.
10. Baranski Z.
2. Hideki Ikue R.
21. Hiraiwa G.
3. Matsuyama S.
17. Iida R.
7. Shinoyama R.
5. Nakamura H.
13. Tsuyama S.
2. Okura S.
45. Yamauchi J. R.
75. Osakabe T.
11. Yonesu R. (C)
Coaches
. Oketani D.
. Richman R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brave Thunders won 0.
In recent outings, Brave Thunders has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Alvark is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Alvark could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Alvark is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brave Thunders has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1502:1600 (averaging 75.1:80 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brave Thunders against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 754:781 goals (averaging 75.4:78.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Toyota Alvark - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.