Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Blue-hollin (Reykjanesbaer)


	Keflavík		Valur

	1	2
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.41	2.71
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	2.57 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
64%

Valur
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Keflavík - Valur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Bulic M.	6. Acox K. (C)
12. Koulechov E.	10. Jonsson K.
13. Moller C.	21. Lawson C.
14. Petursson H.	5. Nikolic L.
1. Remy M.	24. Woods K.
Substitutes
8. Bardarson E.	7. Booker F.
5. Brodnik J.	77. Maric I.
23. Gunnlaugsson O.	18. Sigurdarson K.
9. Hermannsson H. (C)	3. Stefansson H.
10. Magnusson J.	4. Svalason A.
11. Orelj N.	9. Svavarsson O.
7. Sigurdarson F.	11. Svavarsson V.
Coaches
. Gudmundsson D.	. Stefansson F.

Preview

Valur leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Keflavík will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1689:1747. (average 84.5:87.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 844:863. (average 84.4:86.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Keflavik	1	1	0	108:90	2
3	Valur	1	1	0	90:77	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	79:78 ✺
07.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	82:87 ✺
02.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	75:78 ✺
26.03.26	Njarðvík - Keflavík	82:86 ✺
19.03.26	Keflavík - Valur	85:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL
- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	79:78 ✺
07.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	82:87 ✺
02.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	75:78 ✺
26.03.26	Valur - IR Reykjavík	82:93 ✺
19.03.26	Keflavík - Valur	85:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	79:78
07.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	82:87
02.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	75:78
19.03.26	Keflavík - Valur	85:88
Icelandic Cup Basketball
12.01.26	Valur - Keflavík	93:94
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.12.25	Valur - Keflavík	112:91
Icelandic Cup Basketball
19.03.25	Keflavík - Valur	67:91

Keflavík - Valur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide