Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)


	Keila		Pärnu

	1	2
			Watch
	4.1	1.2
	3.86	1.2
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.65	1.24
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.12)	1.22 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keila
24.3%

Pärnu
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Keila - Pärnu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Burns Q.	1. Harris D.
4. Muhammad I.	22. Hint A.
11. Paige J.	14. Ilves G.
40. Peemot P. (C)	11. Johansson D.
2. Sats R.	10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.
Substitutes
13. Aimre H.	2. Aav S. (C)
3. Ermakov K.	33. Allik W.
25. Kago R.	20. Arvidsson J.
18. Laanemaa R.	5. Eelmae H.
0. Miller J. I.	16. Lootus K.
1. Ruutel E.	24. Sonntak K.
55. Valge M.
Coaches
. Sober A.	. Evart K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keila won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Keila may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pärnu is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Keila won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 824:920. (average 74.9:83.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Keila won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 419:431. (average 83.8:86.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keila KK
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
21.11.25	Valmiera Glass Via - Keila	86:81 ✺
15.11.25	Keila - VEF Riga	80:105 ✺
12.11.25	TalTech - Keila	110:82 ✺
04.11.25	Keila - Keila Basket	96:90 ✺
01.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	117:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWL
- KK Pärnu
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
23.11.25	Liepāja - Pärnu	83:90 ✺
15.11.25	TalTech - Pärnu	86:78 ✺
08.11.25	Pärnu - Valmiera Glass Via	62:78 ✺
01.11.25	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	83:71 ✺
25.10.25	Pärnu - Tallinna Kalev	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
25.01.25	Pärnu - Keila	91:82
28.12.24	Keila - Pärnu	68:98
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
02.05.24	Pärnu - Keila	87:67
01.05.24	Keila - Pärnu	80:79 OT
28.04.24	Pärnu - Keila	60:53
26.04.24	Keila - Pärnu	93:69
24.04.24	Pärnu - Keila	79:71

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