Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Keilor Thunder		Geelong United

	1	2
			Watch
	1.12	4.88
	1.13	5.01
	1.19	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.28)	4.7 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keilor Thunder
80.4%

Geelong United
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keilor Thunder's performance.

Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Keilor Thunder - Geelong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:65

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 1.

Recent performances by Keilor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Geelong is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keilor is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 534:586. (average 76.3:83.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Keilor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 306:325. (average 76.5:81.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keilor Thunder Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
02.05.26	Diamond Valley Eagles - Keilor Thunder	93:68 ✺
25.04.26	Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder	70:58 ✺
18.04.26	Nunawading Spectres - Keilor Thunder	53:70 ✺
18.04.26	Keilor Thunder - Sandringham Sabres	52:65 ✺
11.04.26	Keilor Thunder - Northern Tasmania	84:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Geelong United NBL1 Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
02.05.26	Geelong United - Sandringham Sabres	62:81 ✺
25.04.26	Eltham Wildcats - Geelong United	87:47 ✺
18.04.26	Diamond Valley Eagles - Geelong United	80:72 ✺
11.04.26	Geelong United - Mount Gambier Pioneers	82:87 ✺
02.04.26	Bendigo Braves - Geelong United	79:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
26.07.25	Geelong United - Keilor Thunder	84:69
18.07.25	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	78:96
14.04.24	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	97:80
15.07.23	Geelong United - Keilor Thunder	76:72
03.06.23	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	66:77
06.08.22	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	65:72
07.05.22	Geelong United - Keilor Thunder	101:87

Keilor Thunder - Geelong United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide