Match Info

IBL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sritex Arena (Surakarta)


	Kesatria Bengawan Solo		Bogor Hornbills

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.35	1.48
	2.81	1.33
	2.33	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.01)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kesatria Bengawan Solo
37.7%

Bogor Hornbills
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kesatria Bengawan Solo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kesatria Bengawan Solo's form might have worsened.

Bogor Hornbills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bogor Hornbills's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kesatria Bengawan Solo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kesatria Bengawan Solo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogor Hornbills than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bogor Hornbills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Barkley K. (C)	0. Branch S.
34. Gettys C. J.	2. Erga A.
25. Rice R.	17. Nuban D.
23. Seputra A.	25. Thibodeaux T.
6. Wenas A.	34. Wesson K. (C)
Substitutes
13. Indrawan P.	10. Abraham H.
33. Muhamad I.	11. Chrissler C.
22. Poetiray K.	77. Guntara M.
7. Pratama A.	1. Nepa A.
11. Rorimpandey A.	31. Rondonuwu S.
10. Sanyudy A.	3. Sanjaya K.
1. Saputra N.	7. Wenas D.
Coaches
. Garbelotto A.	. Perez C.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bengawan Solo won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bogor Hornbills might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bengawan Solo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 675:739. (average 75:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bengawan Solo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 396:421. (average 79.2:84.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kesatria Bengawan Solo
Indonesian IBL
10.05.26	Dewa United - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	101:91 ✺
06.05.26	Rajawali Medan - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	97:110 OT ✺
03.05.26	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Pelita Jaya Jakarta	84:71 ✺
29.04.26	Tangerang Hawks - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	98:100 ✺
25.04.26	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Satria Muda Jakarta	69:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- Bogor Hornbills
Indonesian IBL
09.05.26	Dewa United - Bogor Hornbills	97:91 ✺
02.05.26	Tangerang Hawks - Bogor Hornbills	87:91 ✺
29.04.26	Bogor Hornbills - Satria Muda Jakarta	91:93 ✺
24.04.26	RANS Simba Bogor - Bogor Hornbills	72:86 ✺
19.04.26	Bogor Hornbills - Pelita Jaya Jakarta	81:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian IBL
08.03.26	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills	81:91
18.01.26	Bogor Hornbills - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	82:66
18.05.25	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills	85:83
23.06.24	Bogor Hornbills - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	93:74
15.03.24	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills	90:86 OT
18.06.23	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills	61:85
28.01.23	Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills	79:76 OT

Kesatria Bengawan Solo - Bogor Hornbills: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide