Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Netto Arena (Szczecin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin		Legia Warsaw

	1	2
	1.95	1.74
	1.67	2	Watch
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.69	2.12
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.52)	1.99 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
53.3%

Legia Warsaw
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that King Wilki Morskie Szczecin's form might have worsened.

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

The ML Model estimate for King Wilki Morskie Szczecin aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Legia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Freidel N.	0. Graves J.
12. Gielo T. (C)	40. Hunter S.
10. Novak J.	3. Pluta A. (C)
7. Popovic N.	42. Ponsar C.
22. Roberts A.	5. Tomaszewski W.
Substitutes
8. Hustak O.	8. Antoniuk T.
31. Kostrzewski M.	1. Czapla B.
2. Majcherek A.	11. Shungu B.
3. Roach J.	15. Silins O.
27. Ucieszynski J.	25. Thompson R.
28. Zolnierewicz P.	32. Wilczek M.
Coaches
. Majcherek M.	. Rannula H.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Szczecin won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Szczecin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1625:1736. (average 81.3:86.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 829:793. (average 82.9:79.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Legia	2	1	1	166:180	3
7	Szczecin	1	1	0	104:85	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Polish Basket Liga
06.01.26	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	83:74 ✺
03.01.26	MOSiR Krosno - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	72:82 ✺
29.12.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	102:93 OT ✺
20.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	90:81 ✺
13.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - GTK Gliwice	85:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
03.01.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	84:63 ✺
28.12.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Legia Warsaw	106:73 ✺
23.12.25	Legia Warsaw - MOSiR Krosno	82:68 ✺
20.12.25	GTK Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	81:89 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Heidelberg	83:88 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
07.05.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	81:84
19.01.25	Legia Warsaw - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	85:71
11.05.24	Legia Warsaw - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	84:99
09.05.24	Legia Warsaw - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	90:88
04.05.24	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	80:77
02.05.24	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	85:80
14.04.24	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	84:85

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