Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 1

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Referee: Krupinski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		King Wilki Morskie Szczecin

	1	2
	2.05	1.69
	2.03	1.65	Watch
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.1	1.7
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.37)	1.67 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
44.3%

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Start Lublin's performance.

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and King Wilki Morskie Szczecin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for King Wilki Morskie Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lublin will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lublin: 66.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 170.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Start Lublin will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ford Q.	14. Egner M.
33. Frankamp C.	15. Freidel N.
2. O'Reilly L.	12. Gielo T. (C)
19. Szymanski R.	10. Novak J.
1. Tokoto J.P.	7. Popovic N.
Substitutes
8. Kepka W.	8. Hustak O.
0. Krasuski M.	31. Kostrzewski M.
7. Pelczar B.	3. Roach J.
21. Put F. (C)	22. Roberts A.
5. Turewicz M.	27. Ucieszynski J.
6. Wright J.	28. Zolnierewicz P.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Majcherek M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Szczecin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1607:1571. (average 80.4:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 802:783. (average 80.2:78.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Szczecin	1	1	0	104:85	2
13	Lublin	1	0	1	79:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
03.01.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Start Lublin	75:87 ✺
27.12.25	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	95:93 ✺
20.12.25	Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych	85:79 ✺
13.12.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	84:105 ✺
07.12.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	76:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL
- King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Polish Basket Liga
03.01.26	MOSiR Krosno - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	72:82 ✺
29.12.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	102:93 OT ✺
20.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	90:81 ✺
13.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - GTK Gliwice	85:78 ✺
07.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Górnik Wałbrzych	64:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
23.03.25	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	77:82
17.11.24	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Start Lublin	81:82
02.03.24	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	93:98
02.11.23	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Start Lublin	81:85
ENBL
12.04.23	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	86:62
Polish Basket Liga
07.04.23	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Start Lublin	86:78
08.12.22	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	75:69

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