Match Info

Basket Liga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Enea Arena (Szczecin)

Referee: Sosin M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.65	2.03	Watch
	1.83	2.15
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
54.6%

Zielona Góra
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for King Wilki Morskie Szczecin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zielona Góra will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kostrzewski M.	0. Garrison C. J.
10. Novak J.	32. Maughmer J.
7. Popovic N.	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
3. Roach J.	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
22. Roberts A.	13. Szumert J.
Substitutes
23. Dandridge M.	12. Cartier P.
14. Egner M.	10. Fayne P.
15. Freidel N.	40. Lewis C.
12. Gielo T. (C)	6. Majewski M.
2. Majcherek A.	8. Matczak F.
27. Ucieszynski J.	4. Wilson D.
	77. Woroniecki M.
Coaches
. Majcherek M.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Szczecin won 4.

Szczecin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zielona Góra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zielona Góra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Szczecin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Szczecin won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1668:1685. (average 83.4:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Szczecin won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 906:888. (average 82.4:80.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	201:192	3
5	Szczecin	1	1	0	104:85	2

Last Results with these Odds

Zielona Góra - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Polish Basket Liga
13.05.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	81:78 ✺
06.05.26	Legia Warsaw - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	88:84 OT ✺
02.05.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - MOSiR Krosno	88:85 ✺
25.04.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	102:89 ✺
17.04.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	78:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
13.05.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	81:78 ✺
08.05.26	Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra	71:86 ✺
06.05.26	Zielona Góra - Dziki Warszawa	105:86 ✺
03.05.26	Zielona Góra - Śląsk Wrocław	76:80 ✺
23.04.26	MOSiR Krosno - Zielona Góra	87:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
13.05.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	81:78
05.03.26	Zielona Góra - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	74:75
Polish Cup Basketball
20.02.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	88:94
Polish Basket Liga
01.11.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	80:66
28.03.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	89:81
30.11.24	Zielona Góra - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	80:101
10.03.24	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	95:84

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