Match Info

TBL - Round 32

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Kahramanmaraş Merkez Spor Salonu (Kahramanmaraş)


	Kipaş İstiklal		Fenerbahçe 2

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.35
	1.5	2.32
	1.42	2.63
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.98)	2.42 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kipaş İstiklal
62%

Fenerbahçe 2
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kipaş İstiklal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kipaş İstiklal's performance.

Fenerbahçe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kipaş İstiklal than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kipaş İstiklal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe 2 than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kipaş İstiklal - Fenerbahçe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Akkoyun G.	7. Demir D.
53. Demirli G.	6. Encu B.
25. Isik B.	35. Medley-Bacon B.
6. Watkins D.	11. Woods H.
16. Yeniay B.	77. Yanci K.
Substitutes
1. Abu A.	8. Biberovic F.
4. Gozeneli B.	1. Bulut U.
10. Gunes O.	0. Ersin Erfa M.
33. Hotamis I.	24. Gokcek H.
13. Selen B. (C)	19. Ilyem E.
44. Tunc B.	22. Mestoglu Y. (C)
29. Yasar E.
Coaches
. Erdogan S.	. Ugurata O.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kipaş İstiklal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kipaş İstiklal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 89:94.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Kipas Istiklal	5	4	1	410:364	9
12	Fenerbahce 2	5	2	3	349:383	7

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe 2 - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.66%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kipaş İstiklal
Turkish TBL
05.04.26	Bordo - Kipaş İstiklal	99:86 ✺
22.03.26	Cedi Osman Basketbol - Kipaş İstiklal	76:100 ✺
14.03.26	Kipaş İstiklal - Ankaragücü	90:96 ✺
06.03.26	Final Gençlik - Kipaş İstiklal	79:77 ✺
01.03.26	Kipaş İstiklal - Göztepe	91:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW
- Fenerbahçe 2 Basketball
Turkish TBL
05.04.26	Fenerbahçe 2 - İTÜ	97:71 ✺
28.03.26	Darüşşafaka - Fenerbahçe 2	92:82 ✺
21.03.26	Fenerbahçe 2 - TED Ankara Kolejliler	105:109 OT ✺
14.03.26	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Fenerbahçe 2	73:84 ✺
07.03.26	Fenerbahçe 2 - Gaziantep BB BT	86:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
18.12.25	Fenerbahçe 2 - Kipaş İstiklal	94:89

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