Match Info

I Divisioona A - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Aanekosken liikuntatalo (Äänekoski)


	Kipinä		AC Oulu

	1	2
	2.05	1.63
	2.19	1.62
	2.13	1.61
	1.96	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.97)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kipinä
43.9%

AC Oulu
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kipinä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

AC Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kipinä than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kipinä, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Oulu than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AC Oulu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kipinä - AC Oulu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Cookson J.	10. Boyd H. (C)
55. Hilmer J.	4. Harris T.
44. Karkkainen N.	5. Hopkins S.
11. Laaksonen E.	22. Johnson K.
12. McCoy J.	8. Valkama V.
Substitutes
24. Hinkkanen P.	12. de Santana W.
26. Hinkkanen R.	3. Koivisto V.
45. Mantymaa S. (C)	11. Kuukkanen T.
8. Siekkinen A.	33. Makuoi A.
13. Varis E.	82. Pallijeff E.
16. Virtaharju V.	19. Rainto J.
4. Ylipeltola E.	44. Roiko S.
Coaches
. Hautsalo J.	. Koskinen A.

Preview

Kipina leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ACO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kipinä won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 413:433. (average 82.6:86.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kipinä won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 165:198. (average 82.5:99).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	ACO Basket	1	1	0	77:64	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kipinä Basket
Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
24.04.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	74:78 ✺
21.04.26	Kipinä - AC Oulu	76:95 ✺
18.04.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	79:89 ✺
15.04.26	Kipinä - Karkkila	102:91 ✺
12.04.26	Karkkila - Kipinä	96:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWWL
- AC Oulu Basket
Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
24.04.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	74:78 ✺
21.04.26	Kipinä - AC Oulu	76:95 ✺
18.04.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	79:89 ✺
10.04.26	AC Oulu - Jyväskylä BA	81:73 ✺
06.04.26	Jyväskylä BA - AC Oulu	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
24.04.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	74:78
21.04.26	Kipinä - AC Oulu	76:95
18.04.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	79:89
07.03.26	AC Oulu - Kipinä	82:81
14.12.25	Kipinä - AC Oulu	89:103

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