Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: NBL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Hala Spoju (Kolin)


	Kolín		NH Ostrava

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	1.99	1.69	Watch
	2.09	1.74
	2.09	1.75
	1.91	1.8
	2.08	1.69
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.57)	1.72 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolín
45.9%

NH Ostrava
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolín's form might have worsened.

NH Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NH Ostrava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolín than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NH Ostrava than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NH Ostrava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Kolín - NH Ostrava Predictions

Users Predictions: Kolín will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ciz A. (C)	7. Heinzl D.
4. Goga A.	2. Madden R.
9. Novotny F.	41. Rhodes J.
3. Stegbauer L.	20. Svoboda M.
34. Veljkovic M.	21. Williams E.
Substitutes
12. Bistrovic D.	9. Jakel D.
33. Halada F.	23. Janu M.
23. Merta T.	5. Majercak M.
13. Novak P.	12. Skranc D.
15. Stepan D.	10. Snopek M.
	11. Stevens B.
	88. Svoboda S. (C)
Coaches
. Benacek P.	. Choleva A.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kolín won 2.

Kolín is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches NH Ostrava is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

NH Ostrava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kolín won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1767-1650.

Including matches at home between the teams Kolín won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 890-797.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kolín
Czech NBL
06.04.24	Ústí nad Labem - Kolín	96:82 ✺
01.04.24	Nymburk - Kolín	94:63 ✺
30.03.24	Kolín - Brno	93:101 ✺
27.03.24	Kolín - Opava	79:100 ✺
20.03.24	Pardubice - Kolín	82:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLLW
- BK NH Ostrava
Czech NBL
06.04.24	Olomoucko - NH Ostrava	75:95 ✺
30.03.24	NH Ostrava - Slavia Prague	69:59 ✺
27.03.24	NH Ostrava - Sršni Písek	81:64 ✺
20.03.24	Olomoucko - NH Ostrava	88:87 ✺
16.03.24	NH Ostrava - Olomoucko	68:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech NBL
20.01.24	NH Ostrava - Kolín	83:74
04.11.23	Kolín - NH Ostrava	67:65
12.04.23	Kolín - NH Ostrava	83:87
11.03.23	NH Ostrava - Kolín	86:84
21.01.23	NH Ostrava - Kolín	69:75
19.11.22	Kolín - NH Ostrava	96:87
08.01.22	NH Ostrava - Kolín	80:85

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