Match Info

Korisliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Uusikaupunki Areena (Uusikaupunki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Korihait		Salon Vilpas

	1	2
	2.33	1.55
	2.39	1.58
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.37	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.23)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korihait
40.1%

Salon Vilpas
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korihait has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Salon Vilpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Korihait, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Vilpas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salon Vilpas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Korihait - Salon Vilpas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Aalto M.	12. Adler S.
20. Champion F.	5. Brooks J.
40. Jackson J.	24. Forrest J.
7. Sarcevic B. (C)	4. Koivisto M. (C)
10. Tahvanainen V.	20. Vaara M.
Substitutes
11. Eklund L.	0. Almonor A.
21. Goracke B.	22. Innamaa E.
13. Harris J.	14. Lindberg S.
8. Herrala J.	21. Onyema Z.
16. Laihonen M.	11. Ronnholm T.
	1. Suokas T.
	2. Yli-Junnila T.
Coaches
. Ivanovic I.	. Savolainen J.

Preview

Salon Vilpas leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korihait won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Salon Vilpas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korihait won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1585:1706. (average 79.3:85.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Korihait won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 806:820. (average 80.6:82).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Salon Vilpas	2	1	1	201:186	2
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	3	1	2	262:271	2

Last Results with these Odds

Korihait - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
24.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	78:71 ✺
21.04.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	88:81 ✺
18.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	107:53 ✺
15.04.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	85:79 ✺
13.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- Salon Vilpas
Finnish Korisliiga
24.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	78:71 ✺
21.04.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	88:81 ✺
18.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	107:53 ✺
15.04.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	85:79 ✺
13.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
24.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	78:71
21.04.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	88:81
18.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	107:53
15.04.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	85:79
13.04.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	92:84
20.02.26	Salon Vilpas - Korihait	75:90
31.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	73:83

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