Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Alytaus Alytus

	1	2
	1.16	4.2	Watch
	1.14	4.61
	1.19	4.07	Watch
	1.17	4.25
	1.18	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.16)	4.3 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
78.7%

Alytaus Alytus
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alytaus Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Danys E.	15. Bartasius Z.
22. Kazakauskas J.	13. Degray R.
5. Staniulis M.	11. Scott N.
55. Warren J.	8. Smirnov K.
13. Zabita R. (C)	1. Waters-Johnson Jr R. C. (C)
Substitutes
9. Kazlauskas D.	7. Juozaitis J.
3. Kontrimas G.	30. Pocevicius M.
8. Rudys T.	5. Stankevicius T.
33. Saulis V.
23. Young J.
7. Ziubrys J.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Jurkunas A.

Preview

In recent matches, Kretinga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alytus is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kretinga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kretinga is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 449:366. (average 89.8:73.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 282:222. (average 94:74).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
28.02.26	Kretinga - Šilutė	93:76 ✺
26.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	86:58 ✺
22.02.26	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	85:80 ✺
19.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	61:68 ✺
14.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	75:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- Alytaus Alytus
Lietuvos NKL
05.03.26	Alytaus Alytus - Olimpas Palanga	97:83 ✺
28.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Plunges Olimpas	72:96 ✺
26.02.26	Šilutė - Alytaus Alytus	89:72 ✺
21.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	89:91 OT ✺
19.02.26	Omega Tauras - Alytaus Alytus	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
11.12.25	Alytaus Alytus - Kretinga	83:87
09.10.25	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	106:71
20.02.25	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	105:72
16.01.25	Alytaus Alytus - Kretinga	61:80
31.10.24	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	71:79

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