Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Palangos arena (Palanga)


	Olimpas Palanga		Kretinga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.42	Watch
	1.49	2.45
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.51	2.39
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpas Palanga
61.2%

Kretinga
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpas Palanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpas Palanga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barnies T.	6. Danys E.
11. Bruzas E.	22. Kazakauskas J.
3. Danisevicius P. (C)	5. Staniulis M.
13. Mikalauskas L.	55. Warren J.
34. Narvilas M.	23. Young J.
Substitutes
7. Kymantas T.	3. Kontrimas G.
12. Pabrieza N.	8. Rudys T.
22. Runkauskas M.	33. Saulis V.
5. Stasys M.	13. Zabita R. (C)
40. Titus D.	7. Ziubrys J.
91. Zabitis J.
Coaches
. Kubilius E.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpas won 3.

Olimpas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kretinga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olimpas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Olimpas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 449:417. (average 74.8:69.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 213:196. (average 71:65.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	BC Olimpas Palanga	3	2	1	258:233	2
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Last Results with these Odds

Kretinga - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpas Palanga
Lietuvos NKL
14.02.26	Šilutė - Olimpas Palanga	80:90 ✺
07.02.26	Omega Tauras - Olimpas Palanga	87:89 ✺
05.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	80:82 OT ✺
31.01.26	Telšiai - Olimpas Palanga	97:90 ✺
29.01.26	Olimpas Palanga - Mažeikiai	73:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
14.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	75:73 ✺
07.02.26	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:104 ✺
05.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	80:82 OT ✺
31.01.26	Kretinga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	77:88 ✺
29.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kretinga	84:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
05.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	80:82 OT
27.11.25	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	85:75
19.12.24	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	64:74
24.10.24	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	66:48
02.12.23	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	67:66
12.10.23	Kretinga - Olimpas Palanga	72:87

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