Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Jurbarkas-Karys

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.6
	2.14	1.65
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.68)	1.63 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
43.5%

Jurbarkas-Karys
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kretinga's performance.

Jurbarkas-Karys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurbarkas-Karys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kretinga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurbarkas-Karys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kretinga - Jurbarkas Karys Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jurbarkas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Danys E.	5. Adomavicius A.
22. Kazakauskas J.	99. Babusis K.
5. Staniulis M.	17. Kokoska K.
55. Warren J.	6. Matulis G. (C)
13. Zabita R. (C)	23. Volbikas A.
Substitutes
9. Kazlauskas D.	34. Bilevicius T.
3. Kontrimas G.	10. Guscikas K.
8. Rudys T.	3. Micevicius L.
33. Saulis V.	55. Tamulis J.
23. Young J.	9. Valunta S.
7. Ziubrys J.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Valaitis P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 0.

Kretinga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jurbarkas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kretinga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jurbarkas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 776:840. (average 77.6:84).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 371:408. (average 74.2:81.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Jurbarkas	3	3	0	286:224	3
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	101:97 ✺
28.02.26	Kretinga - Šilutė	93:76 ✺
26.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	86:58 ✺
22.02.26	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	85:80 ✺
19.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	61:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- BC Jurbarkas-Karys
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Omega Tauras - Jurbarkas-Karys	94:98 ✺
05.03.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	69:63 ✺
03.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Jurbarkas-Karys	79:87 ✺
21.02.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Plunges Olimpas	102:90 ✺
19.02.26	Šilutė - Jurbarkas-Karys	85:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
18.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	80:76
16.10.25	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	65:81
05.01.25	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	57:72
05.10.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	87:86
28.04.24	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	84:89
25.04.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	93:76
20.04.24	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	76:84

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