Match Info

NKL

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Perlas Vilkaviškis

	1	2
	2.35	1.48	Watch
	2.42	1.5
	2.32	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.56	1.45
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.35)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
37.8%

Perlas Vilkaviškis
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Perlas Vilkaviškis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kretinga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perlas Vilkaviškis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kretinga - Perlas Vilkaviškis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kretinga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kazakauskas J.	21. Gadsden Jr T.
14. Macionis G.	5. Pazarauskas T. (C)
8. Rudys T.	23. Saterfield J. T.
55. Warren J.	50. Skucas Z.
13. Zabita R. (C)	34. Stankevicius G.
Substitutes
6. Danys E.	22. Bancevicius A.
9. Kazlauskas D.	7. Hopenas A.
3. Kontrimas G.	35. Kucinskas G.
23. Young J.	33. Quillan G.
7. Ziubrys J.	9. Smirnov K.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Zablockis S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kretinga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Perlas Vilkaviškis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 914:913. (average 83.1:83).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 439:427. (average 87.8:85.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Last Results with these Odds

Kretinga - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.04%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
22.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	77:82 ✺
17.01.26	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	102:87 ✺
15.01.26	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	113:79 ✺
13.01.26	Kretinga - Telšiai	75:89 ✺
10.01.26	Sūduva - Kretinga	107:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
22.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Omega Tauras	99:66 ✺
17.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	70:88 ✺
15.01.26	Sūduva - Perlas Vilkaviškis	94:90 OT ✺
10.01.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Perlas Vilkaviškis	54:72 ✺
08.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Perlas Vilkaviškis	72:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
08.11.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kretinga	83:94
25.01.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kretinga	89:87
03.10.24	Kretinga - Perlas Vilkaviškis	93:85
09.12.23	Kretinga - Perlas Vilkaviškis	75:83
19.10.23	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kretinga	79:74
18.02.23	Kretinga - Perlas Vilkaviškis	91:73
16.02.23	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kretinga	93:61

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