Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: SD Leona Stuklja (Novo Mesto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Krka		Mega Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.22
	1.62	2.32
	1.61	2.18
	1.5	2.38
	1.56	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
59.5%

Mega Basket
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mega Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krka - Mega Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mega Basket (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 - Mega Basket (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mega Basket (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Bacvic N.	8. Kroflic U.
9. Helmanis K.	6. Markovic B.
47. Klobucar J.	77. Musicki A.
21. Mahkovic B.	23. Srzentic O.
10. Oman U.	19. Suigo L.
Substitutes
5. Brantley K. U. M.	2. Davis J.
31. Rebec J.	5. Drezgic S.
55. Santelj L.	35. Gacic L.
24. Smrekar Z.	1. Luc K.
41. Sukhmail M.	0. Milenkovic A.
	11. Siby A.
	7. Vukcevic M.
Coaches
. Jakara D.	. Avdalovic V.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krka won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Mega Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Krka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1514:1567. (average 75.7:78.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Krka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 754:758. (average 75.4:75.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Krka
Adriatic League
13.03.26	KK Zadar - Krka	66:72 OT ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
10.03.26	Triglav Kranj - Krka	58:79 ✺
Adriatic League
07.03.26	Krka - Ilirija	72:71 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
04.03.26	Krka - Zlatorog Laško	101:61 ✺
Slovenian Cup Basketball
20.02.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Krka	99:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
15.03.26	Mega Basket - Borac Čačak	95:77 ✺
09.03.26	Mega Basket - Studentski Centar	90:76 ✺
Serbian Korac Cup
21.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Mega Basket	106:84 ✺
20.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Mega Basket	58:80 ✺
19.02.26	Mega Basket - OKK Beograd	100:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
12.01.25	Mega Basket - Krka	87:94
22.09.24	Krka - Mega Basket	70:80
03.03.24	Krka - Mega Basket	91:106
19.11.23	Mega Basket - Krka	72:77
22.04.22	Krka - Mega Basket	62:79
10.10.21	Mega Basket - Krka	73:72 OT (67:67)
07.03.21	Krka - Mega Basket	76:71

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