Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	LSU Tigers		Alabama Crimson Tide

	1	2
	3.8	1.24
	3.5	1.27
	3.24	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.47	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.74)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LSU Tigers
26.7%

Alabama Crimson Tide
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LSU Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LSU Tigers's form might have worsened.

Alabama Crimson Tide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alabama Crimson Tide's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LSU Tigers than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LSU Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alabama Crimson Tide than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alabama Crimson Tide, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:90

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LSU won 0.

Recent form of LSU has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alabama is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alabama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alabama is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LSU won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1493:1676. (average 74.7:83.8).

Including home matches between the teams, LSU won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 695:756. (average 77.2:84).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LSU Tigers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	Texas Longhorns - LSU Tigers	88:85 ✺
14.02.26	Tennessee Volunteers - LSU Tigers	73:63 ✺
10.02.26	LSU Tigers - Arkansas Razorbacks	62:91 ✺
07.02.26	LSU Tigers - Georgia Bulldogs	71:83 ✺
31.01.26	South Carolina Gamecocks - LSU Tigers	87:92 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Alabama Crimson Tide basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Alabama Crimson Tide - Arkansas Razorbacks	117:115 OT ✺
14.02.26	Alabama Crimson Tide - South Carolina Gamecocks	89:75 ✺
11.02.26	Ole Miss Rebels - Alabama Crimson Tide	74:93 ✺
07.02.26	Auburn Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	92:96 ✺
04.02.26	Alabama Crimson Tide - Texas A&M Aggies	100:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
25.01.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	80:73
10.02.24	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	92:109
27.01.24	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	109:88
04.02.23	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	69:79
14.01.23	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	106:66
05.03.22	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	80:77 OT (72:72)
19.01.22	Alabama Crimson Tide - LSU Tigers	70:67

LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide