Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Lafayette Leopards		Mercyhurst Lakers

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.6	2.24
	1.64	2.25
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.64	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)	2.28 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 127.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lafayette Leopards
58.5%

Mercyhurst Lakers
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lafayette Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lafayette Leopards's performance.

Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercyhurst Lakers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lafayette Leopards than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lafayette Leopards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercyhurst Lakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lafayette Leopards - Mercyhurst Lakers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lafayette (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:65

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Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Lafayette may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mercyhurst has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lafayette won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 77:73.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lafayette Leopards basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.11.25	Lafayette Leopards - Monmouth Hawks	74:88 ✺
29.11.25	Lafayette Leopards - Ball State Cardinals	55:37 ✺
28.11.25	Lafayette Leopards - Le Moyne Dolphins	63:76 ✺
21.11.25	Stonehill Skyhawks - Lafayette Leopards	74:70 ✺
17.11.25	West Virginia Mountaineers - Lafayette Leopards	81:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.11.25	West Virginia Mountaineers - Mercyhurst Lakers	70:38 ✺
23.11.25	Marshall Thundering Herd - Mercyhurst Lakers	69:60 ✺
20.11.25	Miami OH RedHawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	76:71 ✺
15.11.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Morgan State Bears	86:72 ✺
12.11.25	Canisius Golden Griffins - Mercyhurst Lakers	58:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.12.24	Mercyhurst Lakers - Lafayette Leopards	73:77

Lafayette Leopards - Mercyhurst Lakers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide